This Week in Tech 485 (Transcript)
Leo Laporte: It's time for TWIT: This Week in Tech. Great show for you today. We've got Kevin Marks here, Tim Stevens from
CNET, and Sam Lessin from The Information. We'll talk about the LA auto show with
Tim. Sam will talk about the start-up
culture in Silicon Valley, and the Nortel patents and Rockstar. Kevin Marx explains why it's all over for the
patent rule. It's next, on TWIT.
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Leo: This is TWiT, This Week in
Tech. Episode 485, recorded November 23,
2014.
Uber Delenda Est.
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hover.com and enter the promo code TWIT11. It's time for TWIT: This Week in
Tech, the show where we cover the week's tech news, and what a week this has
been. Fortunately, we have a brilliant
panel to help us out, startling all the way to my left, your right, Kevin
Marks. We know Kevin well. He's a frequent contributor to all our shows,
especially This Week in Google. Great to see you, Kevin.
Kevin Marks: Nice to see you
too.
Leo: Kevin has
worked in every major company in Silicon Valley, including Google, Apple, and
British Telecom. So—
Kevin: And Sales
Force.
Leo: And Sales
Force. Let's not forget Sales
Force.
Kevin: They were in
the city around the valley.
Leo: Close. It's the same thing. Also with us, Tim Stevens,
former editor in chief at Engadget. He's now doing car tech at C Net, and very
timely to have you on because the LA car show is this week.
Tim Stevens: Thanks for
having me.
Leo: I want to
welcome somebody who hasn't been on our air since we decided—2008. But he's an old friend, and I think one of
the great guys in the Valley. Sam Lessin. You may
remember him from drop.io, which was just my favorite thing. It allowed you to share files online, just
create these ad hawk file-sharing sites. Facebook came along and bought it, put it out of business, put Sam to work. You
did the Timeline, right, while you were at Facebook?
Sam Lessin: Yep. I
built Timeline with a great team.
Leo: And now
you're—did you retire from Facebook? Did
you cash in the stock and say, "that's it, I'm done?"
Sam: I'm a huge
believer in Facebook. I'm very excited
about the company, love the people that work there, but I decided at the end of
August that it was time for me to move on, so I left. I am now the Intern at The Information, which
I'm having a blast doing.
Leo: Before you say,
"Oh Sam, you've come down in the world," you should point out that
The Information is Jessica Lessin, his wife's really
great publication. Kind
of a new form of tech journalism that people in the know—it's a
subscription only online site and newsletter, and we've had Jessica on several
times. It was really great. We think the world of both of you.
Sam: Thank you. I think the world of her too!
Leo: Is this
something you've always wanted to do is be a journalist? Because I know you're writing a weekly column.
Sam: Yeah, I'm
writing a weekly column, and I wouldn't consider myself a hardcore journalist
the way the rest of the team at The Information are hardcore journalists, I'm
more writing an opinion column. But I'm
having a lot of fun in figuring out the next steps, but I think what they're
doing is awesome. Beyond being a
supportive husband, I'm having a lot of fun working with the team and putting
out some content and helping where I can.
Leo: I think that's
great. I have to say, speaking as
somebody who never worked in the business, I know that Kevin has of course, and
you have. Both entrepreneurial software
guys and so forth. The nice thing about
covering it is you don't have to pick sides. You can cover the—you see everything. You see all the stuff that's happening, and it's so much fun.
Sam: Yeah, it's a
blast. I'm loving the perspective. I think also, honestly,
having spent four years at Facebook and being a VP product there, it's a
different perspective. It really changes
how you approach a lot of these things, because you have so much more context
for what a lot of these big companies are going through and how they evaluate
decisions. So, I don't know. Life is good.
Leo: I think it's
great to get an honest entrepreneur on this site, because you know more than a
lot on exactly what's going on inside. So, I'm glad you're here, because of course, our top story,
unfortunately has to be Uber. But I think it's a—I don't want to cover
the—we'll cover a little bit what happened he said she said thing, but more
importantly, I think maybe a culture clash between the go go start up culture of Silicon Valley and the rest of the world. And you've been in the middle of it. What's your take, and I know you've written
about this information, what's your take on what's going on here?
Sam: I mean I have
all the respect in the world for Uber. I think it's one of the most exciting
companies, probably ever, in terms of what it represents for the future. But I also think they see this very
interesting spot and poster child for this new generation of Silicon Valley
companies that actually have meaningful and immediate impact in the real
world. I think the last generation of
companies, actually, I'm writing a column about this tomorrow, but the last
generation of companies existed in this world where they were working on
productivity or communication or things where you could have great impact, but
you're not changing the day to day in an immediate way in a way that a company
like Uber is. And I think that if you look at Uber or Air
B&B, a lot of the things that are going on now, there is such a dramatic
impact in the real world immediately that it really raises the bar of attention
that's put on them, and the professionalism that needs to happen on various—so,
my take is that they're a company that is figuring it out. They're fundamentally good people from my
perspective, the ones that I know that are there. But there's a lot to figure out, and you have
to grow up quickly in this day and age, in terms of the amount of attention
that's put on these things.
Leo: Jessica Lessin's lead story at The Information is that in Uber's saga there are no calls for adult supervision. I don't know, I'll
call for adult supervision. It seems
like something odd is going on. There is
this he said she said back and forth, and I'm not sure exactly what actually
happened. You can't know, because it was
at a private dinner. Uber has been accused in the past of being high handed with privacy. There's the God mode on Uber that tells Uber employees exactly where every car is
and who is riding in those cars, and that information could theoretically be
gathered to pinpoint locations of people. A couple of journalists have accused Uber of
misusing that one. Pointed out that he
got a text, someone was at an Uber party and said,
"You're on the big map right now. We know exactly where you are." Uber unwisely decided to put the God mode up
on a big screen at a party. Another said
that Uber, in an effort to put pressure on this
journalist, an Uber executive was waiting for him
when he arrived in the car and said, "Well, I know exactly where you are
at all times because you're riding an Uber." That scares people. There have been several cases of—there's a
case of assault by an Uber driver, an Uber driver in San Francisco is accused of having killed a six-year-old
running over a family. But ironically,
after all of that, the big story is this Uber executive. Neil Michael, who at a
private dinner, speaking to the editor and chief of BuzzFeed,
according to the editor in chief of BuzzFeed, said
that Uber should do opposition research on
journalists who are critical of Uber and attempt to
dig up dirt on them, in particular Sarah Lacy from Pando Daily. Apparently, according to Ben Smith the editor
at BuzzFeed, he said that Emil told him that there's
some particular information that would be very damaging to her. Lacey immediately took umbrage and has made
the rounds, some have accused her of capitalizing on this, another journalist who was sitting next to the two at the same event said nothing like
that actually happened.
Kevin: She basically
confirmed the narrative that said he didn't mean it.
Leo: Well, she didn't say he threatened—I don't know. Let's fine this article, because it's
complicated, and at this point I'm not sure whom to
believe. Ben Smith of BuzzFeed may be exaggerating this. He did one thing that is a little
suspect. His initial story referred to a BuzzFeed journalist that was there, not saying it was
himself, which was odd.
Sam: I think there's
a big question in this day and age, especially the relationship team, a lot of
these publications that—I mean, I have all the respect and love in the world
for BuzzFeed, but they exist in the zone of
publications that need to attract a lot of attention because they're paid for
attention. So I think there is a lot of
mistrust right now from all angles. I
think the he said she said who knows the realities? You can't trust anyone on this stuff.
Leo: To be honest, I
trusted Ben Smith until I read Nicole Campbell’s post on the Huffington
Post. She worked at the Obama White
House with Emil Michael, was at this dinner—
Kevin: Michael hasn't
disputed that he said it, and she doesn't dispute that he said it, they're just
saying, "I was joking. I was
drunk." No one has actually—
Leo: Nicole says
there was no anti-feminist sentiment, no attacking families, no attacking
children, no anger, no threats against anyone, no action planned. Nothing. It was clear to me this was all a vague,
civilized conversation. I'm a woman; I'm
sensitive to any talk of this kind. Now
she says, "I admit, I'm a friend of Emil's," but she says Ben's
comments caused Sarah some understandable angst. Sarah take it from me, what Ben reported is
not true. This is the article.
Sam: Look. I think what's clear out of this episode, is
that when you have—
Kevin: If that's so,
why didn't Ben admit it on the day and apologize to—
Leo: It's very
confusing. Nobody at Uber has said Emil didn't say this.
Kevin: Right. Exactly. He's said he said it, he's apologized, sort
of semi-apologized to Sarah, but he—
Leo: What's missing
a little bit though, I mean, it's all just hearsay. What's missing is context. We don't know what the context was, what the
spirit of it was.
Kevin: But the tone if
it is the problem, and I think that this God mode sense is part of the
problem. I recognize part of where that
comes from, because it comes from when you start a start-up, there's a very
small number of you and you're working against these enormous forces in the
rest of the world, and it feels like you're taking everyone on. And then, as it grows, that pressure only
grows on you, and then eventually you have a large company if you're really
lucky and things go well, and you don't always realize that things have changed
and you're now a big company. We've seen
that happen with Microsoft, we've seen that happen with Google, we've seen it
happen with Facebook. Where the founders
have started out with this massive self-belief in us against the world model,
and then eventually realize "wait a minute. We are actually big enough that this a fact of where we impact the world." And it's how they behave after that that
makes the difference.
Sam: Well, I hear
you. I agree. I think that's a really good point. These companies grow up so fast in this
climate. Unwind Uber two years and lets' talk about the way you'd operate a company at that scale
versus a company of a scale that they're at right now. They're moving so quickly. That's not to apologize for it. I mean, I think there are things that they
obviously should be doing better at and need to get on top of, but the reality
of these questions of tone, these questions of what was meant, it doesn't
matter. The reality is they're a big
company with a big footprint. People
watch what they do and they have to level up very quickly—much more quickly
than almost any other company in history, in terms of how they approach these
situations because of the scale of their operations and the responsibility they
have. They're going to figure it
out. I think they're going to figure it
out. This is an unfortunate situation,
an unfortunate episode, and the reality is it doesn't matter what was said. What matters is what comes out on the other
side.
Kevin: Well, it also
matters how they behave, and that's why the God mode stuff is actually
scarier. The reason I deleted Uber this week is I was like, "OK. I don't actually feel confident that you are
good custodians with this data at the moment." Maybe after you've got some processes in
place that make me feel more comfortable I will come back. We had this with Facebook and the ability for
everyone to see everyone else's profile that Kate Losse described in her book. I don't want to
put you on the spot about that, Sam, but I know how this stuff works as
well. When you've built the thing for
the first time, everyone can see the database because you've only got on
database. Anyone who is in engineering
can write queries against it and you end up writing little tools to understand
what's going on. It's only later you
realize actually, this can be used for negative things. Letting people have access to data like this
is a policy problem and something we have to build structures around.
Sam: I don't think
anyone would contest that, including Uber,
frankly. Again, I don't speak for them,
obviously, but I think that's absolutely true. You have to build these tools when you start going from having 20
employees to 1000 the internal controls you have to put in place are real and
need to happen. So, that's pretty clear.
Tim: I sort of have
to wonder: where is Uber's PR in all of this? Why are they allowing for vice presidents to
sit at dinners with journalists and say things like this without someone
stepping in and saying, "Hey by the way, just to remind everybody, this is
off the record."
Leo: Well, it was an
off the record—Apparently it was an off the record
dinner. Ben Smith was invited by Michael
Wolff, who knew it was off the record, but Michael said, "I just assumed
Ben would know it was off the record." It wasn't. He didn't treat it
that way.
Tim: That's the job
of PR to be there at that time to say, "just to
make sure that everybody knows." I've been at these sorts of dinners and it's always repeated over and
over and over again. This is off the
record. Especially
when something as sensitive as this comes up. I'm wondering if that's again part of the
learning, part of the maturation that's required here for Uber,
is to know exactly when they need help, and I think they need help in this
regard, and I'm sure they have people who are helping them, but they need more
help. Maybe they need more
sophistication and maybe they need to dial down things a little bit until they
get everything in check, till they get a little bit more media training perhaps
too. Until they get a little bit more
comfortable knowing what they can and cannot say, even in what seems like a
casual environment.
Leo: I hate to let
them off the hook, but at the same time I'm not sure I trust Ben Smith. The whole thing is a mess! And by the way, John Hodgman tweeted that he's not going to use Uber any more,
Gina Trapani and Jeff Jarvis on This Week in Google said they're not going to
use Uber any more. I certainly wouldn't if I had, but my only experience using Uber was in Paris. I
got ripped off by the driver, and I haven't used it since then.
Sam: I think you
should check in with those people in a year.
Leo: Well, I think
it's hard not to use Uber, because the truth about it
is, all this aside, the experience is generally very good. You rate the driver, the driver rates
you. I don't know what it's like to
drive for Uber. I'm hearing ads on the radio every day saying we'll give you $5000 on
your first month, become an Uber driver. I've also heard drivers say it's a terrible
experience being a driver, I want out. I
don't know what to think. There are so
many conflicting stories. This is an
interesting— I think the larger story to me, which I think is more interesting
from my point of view, that this is going to be the way things are going
forward is that because of the Internet, because of social media, because of
the speed of the news cycle, because there is no longer a single source of
truth—you know, there used to be a journal of record, the New York Times or
CBS. There is no longer a single source
of truth, so I think more and more stories are going to be like this. We're going to hear different things from a
lot of different people. Everybody
perhaps has suspect motivations. Ben
Smith wants to get clicks. The whole
starts to come difficult for the end user, end consumer of news to know what's
true.
Kevin: This has always
been true. That it used to be objective
is a myth, and I know Jeff Jarvis would tell us that as well. The thing is, there were always agendas being
pushed, it's just the question was how many people were able to speak about
them.
Sam: I think
something is fundamentally different now. Again, this is a little self-serving on behalf of my wife, but what's
different now is the business model and how people get paid. When you get paid for clicks, when you get
paid for getting attention through social media and to your site, that
incentivizes a certain type of discussion and reporting and sensationalism that
I think isn't true if you're running a subscription service, or if you're
actually paid to be a trusted source of knowledge. So yeah. I think it's always a spectrum. Things aren't black and white in the
world. But it's a little bit simplistic
to say nothing has changed. I mean the
business models that people are running and therefore what types of information
moves around is dramatically different than what it was 20 years ago.
Leo: Well, I don't
want to say that the only model is the informations model. Certainly there's a benefit to
that because the information only has to respond to its subscribers, they don't
have to generate clicks, they don't have advertisers. But I would hope, given that we're an ad
supported free media, that there's a role for ad supported free media, which is
kind of a more traditional way of doing things, and I would hope that they're—I
mean, BuzzFeed, I'll put Vice in this category, are
different ways of doing journalism, but they've done some good journalism. I just think it's very hard for the consumer
to know who to trust.
Tim: It's very hard
as a journalist to maintain that independence from an intent to try and get more traffic. Back in the
day, if you were writing for a big newspaper or big outlet, you didn't really
worry about how many people were reading your story, you wanted to get in the
front page for sure, but it didn't matter to you if your story helped to sell
more newspapers, because ultimately your job was secure regardless. Now a lot of these outlet's operations are
much smaller and you really feel the pressure to be able to drive those clicks,
to drive that traffic, to help the money coming in. There's always supposed to be a separation
between church and state we say, where you don't where the advertising is, you
don't know the advertising dollars, you don't worry about that sort of thing,
but ultimately, if you're at a smaller outlet or some kind of start-up
journalistic publication, you have a pretty good feel for what is doing well
and what is not doing well, and if these stories aren't doing well, then you
know that the writing is on the wall. Things aren't going to last too long. So does that pressure for sure.
Leo: You were in the
hot seat. You were editor in chief at Engadget at AOL. I
can't imagine more of a hot seat.
Tim: Yeah, and there
was certainly a lot of pressure at AOL to do a lot of things I didn't want to
do with Engadget, which may be why things are the way
they are right now, but that's OK. There’s
a lot of pressure for sure, whether you are a journalist or whether you are the
editor in chief of a site like that, or whether you are indeed someone who is
running the business side of things and is responsible for ad revenue and
everything else. There's a lot of
pressure to get the traffic up there and to make these things work and
ultimately I think that that pressure is more closely felt my journalists than
probably ever in the past.
Leo: It worries me,
because I think, as a consumer, there is now an undue burden on me to determine
the truth. There is innuendo flying
right and left, and it's kind of the natural thing, I'm speaking for myself to
say, "Well, where there's smoke there must be fire." So something happened here. But maybe it's not the right response to say,
"Well, I'm giving up on Uber," because we
don't really know. I don't know.
Sam: I think it's a
question of who do you trust.
Leo: Well, Sam, why
am I in a year going to use Uber again? Or they?
Sam: Because it's a
great service and because honestly you don't know what went on, and hopefully
they're going to mature. I'm sure they
will. They'll get more controls in
place. These things, they're moving fast. And again, it's not to apologize, I think clearly mistakes were made just in the fact that there was a huge cycle
around this.
Leo: Well but maybe
what they'll get under control is the news cycle, not their own internal
policies. Maybe God mode won't go away, they'll just learn how to hide it better. That doesn't—
Kevin: They have been
deleting the blog posts off their site, which is sketchy behavior. And then those posts did evoke an attitude,
they were two years old, OK, but you don't just say, "let's just delete
these from the site and pretend they didn't happen." Discuss what you change, rather than—
Leo: What would you
tell young people growing up today, who are growing up in this world, about
critical thinking? What do you teach
them? How do you teach them what to
believe and what not to believe? Is
there a rule? Kevin? You've got young adult children, what do you
tell them?
Kevin: Part of it is
that they're immersed in it and they can work it out for themselves.
Leo: Can they?
Kevin: Yes. If you actually read young adult novels these
days, half of them are about media narrative and understanding. If you read The Hunger Games, half of it is
like fighting, and the other half is how is this presented in the media.
Leo: That's true.
Kevin: Read Harry
Potter. There's the entire Rita Skeeter thread. If
you read the Uglies trilogy, a big chunk of that is
how they're perceived, discovering what's wrong with society and then how
they're perceived once they do it. So
there is this sense of necessary, and Cory Doctorow has written like three
young adult novels that have massive components of media explorations and
government cover up and what it means to be growing up in this world, so I
think that the literature is already there for them, but also it's pervasive in
their world. When I got my sons to sign
up for Gnome, which is a blogging website that lets you connect to social
networks, I was surprised how reluctant they were to connect it to Facebook,
because from their point of view, they'd been burnt before by connecting things
to Facebook and they didn't know what it would send out there, and Facebook for
them is not their communication mechanism so much as the public space, the
notice board where people can see things. They're very aware of managing what they post on Facebook as opposed to
what they send in more covert channels.
Leo: What would you
tell your kids, Tim Stevens?
Tim: Well my kids
are both four legged, so I don't worry about them too much.
Leo: They don't
read. You've seen the sausage being made, you've been right in there.
Tim: The question
that I've had all week is just how much is this story resonating with those of
us outside the journalism start up community, because obviously it's been a
huge story amongst us and the close circles around us, but I still haven't
gotten a good feel for how many people were aware of it. In fact, I was in LA this week and I did use
an Uber. I
feel guilty about it, but I had to use an Uber. I talked to the driver a bit and asked him
how business was, and he indicated that things were a little bit slower than
usual, but he didn't know anything about this controversy at all, and here's a
guy whose livelihood is dependant on Uber, and he wasn't aware of this story at all which made
me wonder just how many people outside of this journalistic and start up circle
are actually aware of any of this at all, and realistically how much does it
impact those people? That's probably the
biggest question I've had. This is, it's almost in center baseball, this sort of thing. It's a big indicator of the culture of the
company, for sure, but do people outside of the circle really care about that?
Leo: Let me give Sam
a chance. Sam, I apologize. Here you are, you're
an intern at The Information, brand new to this business.
Sam: Here's the way
I would look at it. Again, I have a bias
here. I have an opinion about how I
think about media consumption and stuff like that. I think the thing that has really changed is
whom do media organizations work for at the end of the day, and whose side are
they on and can you trust? To me, I
think I strongly believe, and it's obviously self serving,
that the future of the world is going to look a lot more like the past, and
that you'll be paying agents to do serious reporting for you and you'll just
pay them. And you'll just trust them
because their entire incentive will be aligned with providing great
information.
Leo: You mean I'm going to have to hire a private
investigator to figure out whether or not I should have an Uber account?
Sam: No. You're going to pool that. That doesn't mean there isn't places for all
sorts of different types of media and discussion, but at the end of the day,
you are how you make money. That's kind
of what ends up happening.
Leo: You intimately
connected with the Silicon Valley start-up scene. Is the bro attitude I think we're seeing at Uber, this is fairly widespread, especially in early stage
startups, right?
Sam: What's the bro
attitude?
Leo: This
"we're going to take on the world, it's us against
the world." I mean—
Sam: Starting
companies is kind of a crazy exercise, right? I think you have to have that delusion and that drive to ever even
rationally go off and try to start anything. So I think it's actually an important part of early start up culture. I think the question is how do things that do
really work mature? How do the controls
come into place? What's the timing on
that? And when do you wake up and
realize, Oh my god, we're winning, and we're having a
real impact, and there's responsibility that comes with that that you have to
grow into rapidly. Again, I think it's
been said by others, but this is not a new pattern. It's just honestly one of the fastest growths
in recent evaluation that I think has probably ever happened in the world,
right?
Leo: They're
three-years-old. How old is Uber? Three or four years?
Sam: I think it's
more than three.
Leo: 2008 it was
started, so they're more than that. Six
years old. They currently have the most venture funding of any start up out of Silicon Valley,
probably of any start up in the world. They're valued at a couple of billion, more than that. I can't remember.
Sam: Depends on who
you ask. Between 15
and 20.
Leo: 15 and 20
billion. The growth has been insane in
the last two years.
Sam: And it's a
great service.
Leo: And people love
it. Although, I think there's some
legitimate concerns. This Uber X driver who almost killed a guy with a hammer last
week, I mean, it seems to happen more in San Francisco. I guess because there's more rides in San
Francisco.
Sam: Look, and I guess I'm playing my part as the guy sitting in
Silicon Valley.
Leo: You're the start up guy. You
represent the start up guy.
Sam: So I'm playing
my role perfectly I feel like on this show. But look. The reality is there is a lot that they're going to have to figure out, and a lot
of responsibility that comes with being as successful as they have been, and
will be going forward. So I think
there's a lot to learn there. I have
less sympathy for people sensationalizing the driver incident. I mean, you drive enough miles, you're going to have an incident.
Leo: That's what Uber says.
Sam: Cab in every
country and said is there ever an incident, and of course there is. There's no way not to have that happen.
Leo: Surge pricing
bothers people. They don't know how much
it's going to cost. It's raining and all
of a sudden it's triple the cost.
Sam: Look. If that ends up being an issue then a company
like Flywheel, which I take frequently and doesn't have surge pricing or Lyft will win.
Leo: There is
competition.
Sam: There's
competition. It's not like there's a one-stop
shop here. but again, I think these things are going to shake out, and it's an unfortunate
episode. I think it says more about the
media culture than anything else, but it also is a wake-up call to a lot of
executives at these companies. Like,
look. You're not some baby in the corner
any more. People are paying attention,
they care, and you have got to be really careful about the message and image
you're putting out because it matters.
Leo: It's also the
case that as consumers of news that we have to look—every place you go—well,
are they an investor? For instance,
Peter Thiel, the well known Silicon Valley investor
said, "Uber is the most ethically challenged
company in Silicon Valley," and then you learn Peter Thiel is an investor
in Lyft. So
now everything he says has to be suspect, and it seems like everybody has got
some allegiance to one side or the other.
Kevin: Even if that is
a complement.
Leo: From Peter
Thiel that might be a good thing, I don't know. But I have to point out that Sergei and Larry brought in Eric
Schmidt. Mark Zuckerberg brought in
Sheryl Sandberg. That it is not unusual
for companies, I think you said it, Kevin, they have
to have this go go attitude, us against the world
when they're first starting up, but eventually they do bring in adult
supervision.
Kevin: That's the
problem is the adult supervision they've brought in is Emil Michael.
Leo: He's the adult?
Kevin: He's the
political operative dude they've hired.
Leo: He was at the
White House.
Kevin: He was at the
White House. He was at Cloud, which is
another company—
Leo: Cloud? OK, come on. That is not a good pedigree at all.
Kevin: Right. But that's the thing. He's one of these how I'd aim to be this sort
of adult supervision. That's the thing
that's nervous making about it.
Leo: Yeah. At this point now, it feels like it's a
gossip story, not a tech story.
Kevin: Which is what Uber has worked very hard
to make it. Uber has spent this week with some very expensive crisis PR people trying to shift
the narrative.
Leo: Interesting.
Kevin: If you think
about the stories that have come out, for me that's the sign that—
Leo: That's placement.
Kevin: Yeah, that's
consumer placement.
Leo: You want to
write a little story about your friend e-mail?
Kevin: Obviously they
get to tell their side of it. That's
fair enough. But they haven't done
anything formally apart from 13 tweets.
Leo: Yeah, that's
right. And they certainly haven't
censured, as far as we know, or certainly not fired Emil Michael. I wonder—
Kevin: Well they've
e-mailed everyone who says I want to leave Uber saying he doesn't speak for us, which is kind of weird.
Leo: He's our senior
vice president for business, but he doesn't speak for us. He's out there. I just feel like it's hard for us as
consumers to really know what to do, and I think the larger issue is Uber protecting our privacy. If you're a tech journalist, you might not
want to ride in an Uber, just because, I mean, what
are they up to?
Tim: I also think
that's just an Uber thing, you know? I mean, when I reviewed the Tesla models a
few years back, I picked up the car, I was driving back home, and I got a check
engine light, or some kind of warning light on the dashboard. I called up the PR rep at Tesla, she said,
"hang on I'll connect you over to an engineer," and about 30 seconds
later said, "we're watching you don't worry. It's just a pressure thing. You're fine."
Leo: We're watching
it. We saw the light in our control
center.
Tim: I always have a
pretty good idea that if I'm reviewing a Smartphone or if I'm reviewing a car,
that company is watching every thing I do at all
times, and that's the big thing that I don't know about this God mode
thing. Ok, this guy was out waiting for
the journalist to show up. Was that
journalist using a coupon code from Uber for a free
ride, or were they using their personal account? There's some details
there that I don't know. But I assume as
a journalist that I'm being watched everything I do, even Gmail and things like
that.
Leo: I think we can
all assume as citizens of the United States we're being watched, everything we
do, and we'll talk about that in just a little bit.
Sam: I was just
going to say. It is interesting,
though. Showing up at
someone's house. I hadn't heard
this story before, but that's just honestly, and again with respect to whoever
is involved, that's just poor form. Even
if you could do that, that's clearly a terrible idea. I think that's part of becoming more mature
as a company is being like, "that seemed like a fine idea when we were a
tiny company, and now that we're not that's just a bad idea."
Leo: Yeah, but that's
just cosmetics to say, "Oh don't do that." That's cosmetics. Oh, that looks bad. Don't do that. You can still have the same idea, but just
don't tell anybody.
Sam: I think that
there's a risk reward to it. At the end
of the day if I'm an Uber and I'm like,
"Look. We're winning." The cost of getting this wrong—the cost is
actually quite large. I don't think this
is just a tech press issue and gets blown over, I think this is a big deal.
This is so expensive for them. They're
not going to be that dumb going forward.
Leo: Airbnb had its big global meeting here in San
Francisco. Liz Gaines was there and kind
of compared Airbnb and how everybody who has an Airbnb service loves their CEO and contrasts the two, and
at the same time, Airbnb has announced a device that
as an Airbnb host that you can put in your house that
listens any time you want to see if they're having a party in your house, or if
they're smoking. And it's like, "Oh, I'm not going to use Airbnb anymore. They
have a listening device in the house." So the landlords—all right. What
a world. Let's take a break. I want to
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and then get those blades delivered monthly, or every other month. It's awesome. harrys.com. This Movember. You're watching This Week in Tech. Kevin Marks is here. Old friend of the show. We have him on regularly on TWIG. Also, Sam Lessin from The Information, and from CNET the wonderful
Tim Stevens. So you wanted to
come on Kevin, you tweeted me, because last week I thought we had a very
important show. We talked about net
neutrality, about president Obama's request that the FCC use title II of the telecommunications
act to regulate ISPs broadband providers as common carriers. I thought the best way to handle this was to
have ISPs on, one on each side. We had
Dane Jasper of Sonic Net who thinks that's a good idea, oddly enough, and then
we had Brett Glass who is a wireless Internet provider in Laramie,
Wyoming. He doesn't want that extra
government regulation, and I thought we had a very good conversation. I thought both were well spoken. Frankly, it didn't help me, because I agreed
with both of them. What are your thoughts?
Kevin: Well I think
what you find is that the ISPs that have a local monopoly aren't in favor and
the ones who are in competitive markets are in favor, and I think that played
out with your show as well.
Leo: Yes, because
Brett was in a very difficult market.
Kevin: Brett is doing
something that is very difficult, which is trying to be an ISP over wireless in
a very sparsely populated area. So a lot
of the issues around competition that arise in urban areas don't really
apply. But the challenge for me is there
is a sense that this is a natural monopoly, and that is how it is historically
regulated, and therefore the local authority gives permission to certain
companies to vacate what's in that neighborhood in return for something. Maybe a network for them,
maybe taxes or something like that. But then they don't license anyone else, or they only license very few
companies do that. So I'm in San Jose, the self-named capital of Silicon Valley, and my
choice is Comcast or AT&T.
Leo: Aren't you
lucky.
Kevin: And AT&T
has given me lovely twisted hair Internet that's not— we later find that's sort
of three streets away and we'll run some twisted pairs over to you. So there is the physical infrastructure
challenge, and the way that's been handled in other places is what we call
structural separation where, and this goes back to my BT experience, this
happened in the UK. BT was originally
the post office, the UK post office, and then it was British Telecom, and it
took over the telephone network and then it basically had all the cables that
had been laid. It had the monopoly over
the existing cables. So to create a
level playing field there, what the government said was, "OK. You need to separate out the pieces that
can't be the physical infrastructure and sell connectivity to that to your
network company that's selling to customers, and on the same terms that you
sell to everyone else." That's
regulated by government. So there's an explicitly separation between the physical layer and
the services layer. And that was
the case in the US for a while, and that was the piece that was overturned by
the change in regulations when they moved from Title II to Title I.
Leo: Wait a
minute. We never had the situation where
the government owned the infrastructure in the US.
Kevin: No. But you had the situation where they were
required to—
Leo: Open their
plants, yeah. Right now telecoms are
required to open their doors to other ISPs, but cable is not, which is weird.
Kevin: Right. But also they've actually effectively evaded
it.
Leo: Yeah. Dane, who was here, is a DSL provider, of
course he rides on copper provided by all the incumbent carriers, like AT&T
and Verizon, and he told me off the record some horrible tales of anti-competitive
action by the big phone companies. They
don't want third party Internet service providers.
Kevin: Right, so they
try to do it in a regulatory way rather than in a structural way. So the thing that I wanted to bring up was
the idea of structural separation, where there is—
Leo: It's never
going to happen in the US. It's
political dynamite. We can't even agree
on—
Kevin: I certainly— That's not an option. The other thing that would be—
Leo: I agree. I think government should take over all the infrastructure using eminent domain, but that's not
going to happen.
Kevin: The other thing
is what people have called Dutch neutrality, which is letting people have ease to lay other cables over the top of the existing
network. The cost of laying a cable from
here to the central operating thing from my house will be approximately what it
costs to lay the fence in my house. The
physical cost of that is not that high, and I replace the fence every few years
or so.
Leo: But you don't
want five companies trenching out in your backyard.
Kevin: Sure. But the point is, I could pick one and decide
what's at the other end.
Leo: Right. I think there are solutions, but I think
there's also the political issue. And I
think we live in a climate where it's going to be very difficult to solve this
because well hell. For crying out loud,
we couldn't even get a majority to vote against NSA collecting phone records
this week.
Kevin: That's true.
Leo: That's
pathetic!
Kevin: And the other
thing is it's often a local political issue.
Leo: I've done my
best. I've served on the technology
committee here in Petaluma and strongly urged that—because Comcast was not
living up to its agreement. Comcast has,
as all cable companies do, a regional monopoly. A franchise awarded to it by local municipality, and Comcast had
promised all sorts of things. Delivered none of it. But the city government was very reluctant, and I don't blame them, to
pull the plug on Comcast, because the last thing they want is every voter in
the town of Petaluma pissed off at them because their cable doesn't work. You don't want to mess with it. It's weird. We have this house of cards. It's kind of working. And this is the kind of thing that the folks
who advocate no government interference always say. Where's the problem? There hasn't been a problem. You're regulating to protect against
something that hasn't happened yet, and probably won't happen. I don't know if there's a good answer.
Kevin: The interesting
thing is the stuff that Google Fiber is doing where they actually started
saying, "OK. We want to find some
helpful municipalities first and we'll iterate through that." And then put pressure on the others; basically
get pressure from people like me in San Jose. Hey, San Jose can you sign up for Google to do this? It sounds like capital city got a really good
deal compared to what we have. So I
think that is a good strategy, but it's a ten to fifteen year strategy. And I suspect other tech firms may find that
they want to do that too.
Leo: And what you see also is tech companies like AT&T
saying, "Oh yeah. We offer
Gigabit." The minute Google comes
to town. And it's not really
gigabit.
Sam: I think it's a
question also of whether you really want to control the end-to-end stack as
well.
Leo: That's a good
point too.
Sam: I have a very
hard time with this issue. I usually am
pretty opinionated, and I can see either side of the net neutrality debate in
pretty clear contrast. I don't know if
you guys have read this book called "The Master Switch."
Leo: It's a great
book, and I've been trying to get Tim Wu on, but he won't talk in public any
more.
Sam: I love that
book, and I think it's the best articulation if you look at the whole history
of media of how these issues play out. How he finished it I don't think he actually helped me make a decision
about where I stand on it, but it's definitely worth reading.
Leo: The more you
know about this, the harder it is to come up with a good answer that's not
either having government take it all over or competition would solve this. That's pretty obvious. But how are we going to foster
competition? Somebody needs to invent a
great wireless service that's easy and cheap. Maybe project Loon. Google
announced that they can now do 20 balloon launches a day. They've got project Loon is the crazy idea of
putting balloons, weather balloons up in the stratosphere twice as high as
airplanes, higher even than weather, and the nice thing about the stratosphere
is apparently there are winds in a variety of directions and layers so you can
just control the balloon's movement by moving it up or down into the layer you
want so it will go in the direction you want. They launched these in New Zealand, the idea being to provide Internet
access via balloon. Something like that
would really change things.
Sam: It wouldn't
though. You'd still have to deliver the
signal down.
Leo: Dimmit. Doesn't Facebook want to do drones, do the
same thing?
Sam: I think these
are all fascinating long-term technologies, but they don't get around the fact
that you have sovereign governments that have rights over their airspace and
their wire line and all sorts of things you have to interface with.
Leo: It's
impossible, isn't it? What is
Facebook—is it the Internet foundation? Is that it?
Sam: internet.org?
Kevin: Facebook's is
the Facebook network, right? With carriers in Africa to make Facebook free.
Leo: Right. Internet.org. The idea that
Sam: There's a lot of efforts going on at Facebook right now to
help connect the next billion people, which are all really exciting.
Leo: OK. But Sam, I'm going to give you a chance. Because of course me, I think, "Well of
course Facebook wants everybody online using Facebook."
Sam: Yes. But I think the thing to go back to is—
Leo: And so does
Google.
Sam: There's no
question that's true, but I think if you step back for a second, I think people
sometimes have a hard time believing this, but I always fervently do. Facebook is a company who is mission first at
the end of the day. Mark, when the
company went public, had a great one about how Facebook is organized as a
company to fulfill its mission, not the other way around. The fundamental mission is to connect the
entire world. So can you talk about what
does it mean for the long-term business? To help bring another billion people online? Of course. That's obvious. But the bigger thing is that this is from a
mission stand point first, not a company standpoint. Fundamental to what Facebook is meant to
represent and do, so it's pretty cool. I
think a lot of the efforts are going on there. But they're all again very early in terms of how they're playing out.
Leo: I like
this. I thought this was
interesting. Speaking
of this notion of a pay wall in journalism that's paid for by its consumers. Google is experimenting with this Google
contributor surface, which I think is a great idea, and I'm curious what you
guys think about it. The idea is that
you pay a certain fee and Google feeds that money out between 1 to 3 dollars a
month to sites like Mashable, the Onion, and by doing
so, eliminates the Google ads on those sites.
Tim: The best
application of that would be YouTube. I'm surprised we haven't seen something like that already, because
people hate pre-roll on YouTube with a passion. I think it's a great opportunity for them to roll something like this
out. If you pay 10 bucks, 5 bucks a
month, no more pre-roll ads on YouTube. I think a lot of people would pay for that. Especially if they knew
that money was going back where it belongs, to the content creators.
Leo: Susan Wojcicki has raised that as a possibility I think.
Sam: I think it's a
very unlikely possibility.
Leo: Why is that?
Sam: Well, the
problem with these plans on something like YouTube, which is obviously a really
important service for Google in terms of where they're going, is you get all
the people who are the most valuable to opt out of your ads. Right? At the end of the day it's exactly the
demographics that are willing to pay money to these things that —
Leo: That's who
advertisers want.
Sam: What you're
doing is you're creating this reverse incentive where you're basically removing
the most valuable segment of the advertising population. I would go on record saying I would be
shocked if they did this on something like YouTube, where I think in the
content network on sites et cetera, it's a service people have talked about for
a long time, and there's no reason not to offer it and see what happens. I personally am skeptical that it'll work,
but we'll see.
Leo: It would be
kind of capitulation, right? It would be
saying "I guess this ad thing ain't going to
work." Because it
will undermine your ad model. Now
interestingly, Google in a way has tried this. This music key, if you are a Google musical access subscriber, you
probably already have this. You can
apply for beta. When I click the music
tab, the new music tab on my YouTube site, I get ad free music, mixes, play
list. It's kind of like Spotify or
Google All access, except they're videos too. I can even do these offline on my phone. So I can say I want to hear all the pop music tracks. It'll start playing; there will be no
pre-roll. It's a playlist, and it'll
just play forever on my phone or on my device. See? No pre-roll. Taylor Swift is getting nothing for
this.
Sam: We'll see how
it plays out. I think the reality is—
Leo: Ok. You can turn the music down now.
Sam: We'll see. At the end of the day if you do the mass
calculation if you're at Google, what is Google's annual run right now? Is it 40 billion dollars? Is that about right? These are such rounding errors. So the reality is maybe you could do
something on a side project, or music removing ads, but let's be clear. For the things that are core to their
business, which is search and YouTube, they have to figure out how to make an
ad model pay and focus on that, and everything else is really just noise.
Leo: Was this the music industry then that did this? All of these videos it looks like are from
VEVO. Why are they giving this away?
Sam: If I had to
guess, and it's purely a guess—
Leo: It's not
free. It's ten
bucks a month.
Kevin: I think they're
trying to get more people to subscribe to the Google play music subscription
thing. This is magnifying the audience
for that. I went to a set music take
last week, and the head of Google Play Music was interviewed there, and she
said that their subscriptions are growing and doing well and they just have to
grow further. I suspect that part of
them figured that was behind this. The
thing is, YouTube is a place people go to play
music. It has been for a very long
time. The labels know this, and
previously, if you upload a video that has a song on it, they will content ID
match it and put a buy this song link on it, Google will get some referrer for
that. The labels will post videos up
there with the assumption that people will play them there and potentially buy
the songs. But they also want some of
this on going subscription revenue, which they're
already getting from Google Play Music and from the other services like that
and this is a way of extending that into that mode. So that one makes a lot of
sense to me. I think the
contributor makes a bit less sense, but I can see why Google is doing it,
because the crowd sourcing models are starting to get some more traction. This is a way to keep it inside their
eco-system. The advantage they have is
they already have the financial relationships with these publishers because
they're running ads for them and they can actually achieve micro-payment. Whereas a lot of the value of the crowd
funding things is that they succeed better without micro-payments. So I think Google fits in with their model,
I'm not sure necessarily fits in with the consumer's mental model, that there
has been a series of these things where you say, "I will donate $10 a
month to the sites I read." People have built those over the last few
years several times, and they don't tend to work that well because you have to
get a lot of subscribers for that and the actual successes in crowd funding are
the ones where you let people pay amounts of money, so people say, "I
really like this artist. I'd like to give him a lot of money. I really like this site. I'd like to give it a lot of money," and
work on that basis. So the fixed-price
aspect of it is, I suspect is a downside to it.
Leo: It does look
like there's a slider from one to three dollars. Huge difference. The more you contribute the more you support
the websites you visit.
Kevin: If you go to
say, band camp, you can say, "OH, I can buy this for six dollars or I can
buy for 300 dollars. And people do that
for artists they really like."
Leo: I think that's
a great idea, and I think you should give them that range. Somebody in our chatroom suggests, Ken from
Chicago, that this is really just a ploy to get credit card numbers. I think Google has plenty of credit card
numbers.
Kevin: yeah. Google has lots of credit card numbers. Google play store has got—
Leo: They've got
several of mine in Google wallet. I
don't think they need a ploy. Let's take
a break. We're talking about the week's
tech news with some really great people. This is what I love about doing TWIT is I get people I'm interested in
together to talk about stuff I'm interested in. Kevin Marks, Tim Stevens, and Sam Lessin. Tim, get ready. We're going to talk about the LA auto
show.
Tim: All right. I'm ready.
Leo: Our show brought to you today by GoTo Meeting, the powerfully simple way to meet with clients and colleagues anywhere
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PREVIOUSLY ON TWIT:
MAN: I'm
worried. One of these days a quad cop is
going to kill me.
TECH NEWS TONIGHT
Sarah Lane: Uber senior president of business Emil Michaels suggested
that the company might consider hiring a team of opposition researchers to dig
up dirt on media critics.
BEFORE YOU BUY
Leo: The reveal of
the Pono player really is much more than just a
review of the player. It's really a
discussion of can music sound better?
THIS WEEK IN GOOGLE
Gina Trapani: Uber has this thing called God View, allegedly.
Leo: Are you going
to delete your Uber app?
Gina: My Uber app is deleted. I said that I cannot trust Uber with my data and I'm done.
ALL ABOUT ANDROID
Ron Amadeo: It is so awesome to just kind of say, OK
Google and have the phone light up.
MAN: I'm
positive that yours is not the only phone that's going off right now.
Ron A: You have to say
OK Google 3 times.
Ron Richards: Every time I
hear the beep it's funnier.
Ron A: No, stop, no.
TWIT: IT KEEPS
GOING AND GOING AND GOING.
Voice: Next time
you see me again; these two turkeys back here will be gone.
Leo: What a
day. What a week it's been. I got my Nexus 6 right here. Jeff Jarvis got his too. He did an informal Skype un-boxing that was a
little wonky. But there it is. 6 inches. We'll do a review on before you buy on
Tuesday. I don't know. I brought all my phones. See, there's the iPhone 6 Plus. Galaxy Note 4. Not that much bigger than those. I have to say though; it doesn't have all the
features of the Moto X, which I really like. The leather back.
Kevin: How does it compare to the Nexus 7?
Leo: It’s very close. It’s almost just one little inch. Look, see. You know, maybe
it’s just me, but I don’t mind a big phone. I like big phones. It doesn’t look
weird. No. We’re used to it now.
Kevin: I’ve never understood that objection. Because the distance
between your ear and your mouth is actually that much.
Leo: Yea, it looks like an old fashioned phone.
Kevin: I’m not partial…
Sam: No one’s piecing their phones anymore.
Leo: No, and who does this anyway? Right? Nobody talks on a
phone to their ear.
Kevin: So you basically take these two and average them and that’s what you get.
Leo: Right between the two.
Kevin: So I could get rid of both of these and just carry one?
Leo: I’m a little disappointed. It doesn’t have all the Moto X stuff. You can teach
it a phrase and it knows when you’re driving. My Moto X, when I’m at home it
says you’ve got a call from, do you want to answer it?
It’s kind of nice. I like all those features. And it doesn’t have the leather back.
I don’t know; I can’t decide. This is a tough year for phones. I wish I were
just one of those simple-minded iPhone guys. It would be a lot easier. Oh, just
get an iPhone.
Kevin: That was my massive amusement when the new ones came out. Saying big phones are
really good, and I’m going…
Leo: Yea, we’ve been saying that for a couple of years. Actually I hate to admit it
but I really like the Note 4. It’s got the best screen. Arguably
the best camera. I really like it.
Tim: It’s a great device. I’ve been using one for a few weeks now and I did a really
long-term comparison with that and the iPhone 6 Plus just because I really couldn’t make up my mind. But for me actually the
productivity stuff they’ve add especially in the S Note application has really
come in handy. For example, take a picture of a slide in a presentation if
you’re sitting in the audience. It will capture the slide and reformat it to
make it flat and then pull out the individual elements within that slide so you
can drag them around in your notes and draw arrows.
Leo: That’s amazing.
Tim: It’s pretty amazing stuff. The recording is really good for interviews too
which is handy for me. Because I do all my interviews on my
Note. It’s definitely been a big step forward over the Note 3.
Leo: And it has been the only one out of all of this bunch
that you can just pry off the back. I bought a second battery and you just pop
in another battery. And keep going. Battery life is such an issue these days.
Plus the SD card means I don’t have to run…
Tim: I hope Samsung doesn’t get rid of that feature. They’re going away from the
metal casing and chassis. I hope this isn’t the last Note with a replaceable
battery.
Leo: I hope Samsung doesn’t go out of business. Didn’t they say they’re going to cut
back their number of phones to 30% and they’re…?
Tim: That’s still like 500 new phones a year.
Leo: There’s still plenty. Have you played with the Edge yet?
Tim: I haven’t used the Edge myself, no.
Leo: We’re starting to see reviews.
Tim: Yea it seems like a really interesting device but with all the accessories that
we’re starting to see for the Note 4 and the Galaxy S5, I don’t think the Edge
will get any of that treatment at all. It will be kind of a cool phone to have
but ultimately if you’re looking for support I wouldn’t be surprised to see
that get dropped real soon.
Leo: So you think Samsung might eliminate the pry-off back and the replaceable
battery?
Tim: I don’t know. There’s such a strong push for thinner.
Leo: It does make it a little clunkier, doesn’t it?
Tim: It does but there’s been so much blowback against Apple with the bend gate
stuff. Maybe Samsung will draw the line and say this is thin enough. We don’t
need to make it thinner. And they’ll just maintain one of our biggest selling
points in my opinion which is the removable battery. It doesn’t feel anywhere
near as nice as the 6 Plus does for sure.
Leo: Or frankly the Nexus 6 which has the rounded back and is nice for the size.
It’s a nice feel. I feel like battery life… this really pisses me off. Because here’s the Droid Turbo and the Nexus 6. Both of
which have monster batteries in them. And instead of saying oh great, let’s
make a long-life phone. We’ll keep the 1080p screen. Instead they say oh we
have so much battery life, let’s put in a quad HD screen. And then the battery
life is back to the same 12 hours everything else is. I want to go all day,
darn it! And we know this is a case because the One Plus One which is a 1080p screen, a fine screen, does go 20 hours with a big
battery. So it’s possible.
Sam: I’ve got one of those. I like it a lot.
Leo: Isn’t it a great phone?
Sam: Yea. It’s too big for me. I like little phones. But I do like it. I think it’s
a really solid device.
Leo: I would say that if you can get it, that’s the only limitation is it’s hard to
get. At $350 for the 64 gig version with a 20-hour battery
life. In every other respect, I don’t know how long it’s going to be
before Lollypop. Because Cyanogen… the Cyanogen mod is great. That is the phone. If that were widely available, I would say without
hesitation that’s the Android phone to get this year.
Sam: I think it’s great. When I first got it, I didn’t have a SIM card in it and I
left it on. It literally lasted on without a SIM card in it-so that’s a big
deal-for almost a week. Which is awesome, right?
Leo: Did you say Tim, people are having trouble with the
One Plus?
Tim: Yea, people are having issues with the display flickering and some weird
refresh rates and some other issues. So I don’t think their quality control is
up to snuff.
Leo: And there’s no support right? You call them and who are you going to get?
Tim: Yea exactly. If they’re having this much of a problem now and needing a supply
now, how long will it take to get a replacement device? So I would be a little
concerned there.
Leo: I don’t know. I can’t decide what my daily driver is going to be. I just don’t
know.
Kevin: That’s the thing because I’m a big fan of the Nexus 7. But
it’s obviously not a phone and it’s just that little big too big for most
pockets.
Leo: You would like the 6. And Lollypop is awesome.
Kevin: That’s why the One Plus One sounds attractive. Because
having that many pixels in a slightly smaller size with a battery that lasts
longer sounds very attractive.
Leo: The latest Display Mate results are in today. Display Mate of course makes
software to rank color accuracy and help calibrate your screens. And Raymond Soneira who is the president over there, loves doing these.
And I think, I don’t know. I feel like look it’s got
charts, we should be able to trust this. See there’s charts!
It’s got to be true! But he says if you look at the six flagship smartphones
and tablets out there, the clear winner is… what would
you guess? Clear winner. It’s the Note 4, by far. Now
I think it makes sense because Samsung makes their own displays. So it makes sense that they probably reserved the best displays for
themselves.
Tim: And they also give you the power to tweak the display settings on the phone
itself which is a big advantage, too. If you’re looking to
get really accurate color.
Leo: Yea. The most accurate color, very beautiful, the Galaxy Note 4 when it’s set
in the basic screen mode has the best full gamut color accuracy. Skin-tone accuracy far beyond that of any other phone. Same with organic color accuracy. Pretty
impressive. If you look at the white point: 0.0007. That’s so much ahead
of anybody else. It’s not even close. The iPhone, I’m sorry, where is the
iPhone on here? The iPhone is 0.0087. So it’s like 10 times better. There’s the results. The results are in. The standard
full-color gamut is best; does that help on the Note 4? Do you care? Does
anybody really care? How important is color accuracy, really?
Kevin: It’s important if you’re actually using it as a reference for something else.
That’s when you need to calibrate it.
Leo: And when it comes to tablets, Microsoft Surface Pro 3. Kind
of close to the Galaxy Tab from Samsung.
Tim: I actually visited the testing facility of the Surface Pro 3 before they
launched it. They spent a lot of time talking about how much effort they put in
to color calibration and making sure that display’s perfect.
Leo: Who is that for? Is that for photographers? Who really cares about that?
Tim: Yea, photographers for sure. You have to remember that color accuracy doesn’t really
relate to an appealing design or appealing display for a lot of people. If you
walk into Best Buy and look at TVs, the color and things on those TVs are
terrible but they’re designed to really catch your eye as you walk by. And make
you feel warm and comfortable. And that’s what we’re seeing here. Accuracy
doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to be the best looking display to the naked
eye necessarily.
Leo: So tell us about Tim Stevens. Tell us about the L.A. Auto Show. I know
Detroit’s a big auto show. Is L.A. as big and important as the Detroit auto
show?
Tim: Not quite. But it’s definitely getting bigger and more important over the
years. Detroit is still the big U.S. show for sure. And one of the biggest
shows internationally. But L.A. is definitely getting big especially with a lot
of tech announcements. More and more auto manufacturers are choosing to make
their tech-related announcements to CES these days. We did see quite a few
there in L.A. One of the big ones being Android Auto. Google’s option for being able to connect your phone to your car
and use it in a safe way. They opened up the APIs for developers. They
announced them back at Google IO over the summer. Now they’re publicly
available and now you can deploy your apps that will run within the car. They
announced quite a few apps that are out there and compatible now. Spotify on
the audio side is a nice one. WhatsApp on the text messaging
side. And you’re probably thinking text messages while
you’re driving is not a good idea.
Leo: Not a good idea, man.
Tim: But what Google’s done is basically define templates for each of these apps. So
as you go to Spotify to Songza or Sound Cloud, they
all look absolutely the same. So basically these app developers are plugging in
their functionality into the template that Google has defined.
Leo: Now this is different than the Ford Sync which is a computer and software built
into the car, right?
Tim: Basically all this does is turn your car into a dumb terminal for your phone.
Leo: It’s a second screen.
Tim: Right. And everything either happens between a very simple interface-which
would be on Spotify for example, skip track, thumbs up, down, that sort of
thing. Or in text messaging it would be read to you through text to speech. And
if you wanted to do a simple reply, it would be voice back to text. So there
would be no distracting displays on there. No emails popping up. No text
messages on your car that you need to read. It would all be read to you. Or if
it’s too distracting it simply wouldn’t happen at all. So the idea is you put
your phone down and connect to your car. The phone is disabled so you have no
temptation to pick it up whatsoever. And you have these simplified interfaces
that allow you to play your Spotify playlists or listen to your text messages,
that kind of thing.
Sam: The phone is disabled then?
Tim: The phone is disabled.
Sam: No one’s going to want that.
Leo: I want my phone!
Sam: That may be what you say but can you imagine personally if you told me that
when I got into my car my phone would be turned off? I would be freaking out.
Leo: It wouldn’t be turned off though. You would just have a different interface,
right?
Sam: A certainly less aggressive interface.
Leo: Well yea, because you’re driving, Sam!
Tim: Studies showing that if you use your phone while you’re driving it’s as bad as
drunk driving.
Sam: I completely agree with that and it makes 100% sense to me. But I still feel as
a consumer if you told me the good news is you have a screen, the bad news is
your phone is disabled, people will not be very happy about that.
Leo: That’s interesting. Can you turn it off, Tim? Can you say don’t take over?
Tim: Yea. Exactly, if you don’t want to use the service, you certainly don’t have
to. But ultimately this now is giving you some incentive to having your phone
disabled. Before there were apps from other companies that will disable your
phone while you’re driving but you don’t get anything out of it. At least now
when you plug it in your phone is charging and an interface to your apps in a
safe way. You can listen to Spotify. You can get your emails read to you. You
can still get directions to your next meeting and things like that without
having to pick up your phone and crash into a school bus and kill innocent
children.
Sam: I get it. I’m just saying.
Leo: No I think Sam you’re exactly right. That’s the kind of thing that… now Sam you
probably drive a Tesla. So you have a 17-inch screen in your console there.
Sam: No I drive an A3 manual. So I actually have to use both my hands.
Leo: That’s another way to do it. Have a stick shift then you don’t have to…
although I guarantee you there are people who are texting and shifting at the
same time. I guarantee you. I might be one of them.
Sam: I’m sure you’re right. I’ve seen some pretty amazing things at stop lights.
Leo: Hey you’re at a stop light. That’s the time you should do that. What about the
helium, sorry hydrogen fuel cell cars? Toyota showed a car that I think they’re
going to start selling in Japan that has the explosive power of the Hindenburg.
That’s exciting.
Tim: It was a big show for fuel cells. And fuel cell cars are something that we’ve
known are interesting but ultimately weren’t really sure if they were ever
going to come to market because there’s the huge question of where do you get
the hydrogen to put into your car. Right now there are all of I think 12 stations in all of California to fill up your car. There’s 18 in the entire country of Germany to fill up your
car if you have a hydrogen powered car. So that is the big issue. The technology
that was the big story of the show is that technology for fuel cell cars is
there and ready. The Volkswagen, there was also an Audi there. Yet Toyota was
showing off their Eye which will be available for sale next year. They didn’t
say how much it’s going to cost. Probably very expensive in
the order of $60,000. But you get a fully featured car with 300 miles of
range on about a 5kg of hydrogen. And that equates to roughly 60 miles per
kilogram which is actually roughly equivalent to 60 miles per gallon. Which
doesn’t really sound… it sounds good but not really that great compared to a
lot of hybrids out there. The thing is a kilogram of hydrogen costs about $2
right now. That’s roughly half the cost of a gallon of gas. That’s with such limited
supply. You can imagine if there were hydrogen stations on every corner, they
think that cost could drop significantly. So these cars are going to be very
expensive and it will be very hard to fill them up. There’s zero emissions. The only thing that comes out of the tail pipe is water vapor.
They have decent power. It’s as comfortable and easy to drive as any other car.
And they’re significantly cheaper to run. So there’s a lot of potential there
but we’re still waiting for that supply to be there for hydrogen. So who knows
when that’s going to happen?
Leo: I have so many questions. So it’s not burning hydrogen? It’s a fuel cell.
Tim: Right, so the hydrogen goes into a fuel cell which gives you a constant supply
of electricity. It’s not a lot of electricity but it’s enough to power the car.
Leo: So it’s essentially and electric car.
Tim: Yes. These cars are all EVs. Just think instead of having a big battery pack,
you have a hydrogen tank connected to a fuel cell. They do have small batteries
because if you put your foot down the demand is going to be greater than that
fuel cell can supply. So they’re kind of like hydrogen-powered hybrids almost.
In fact, the Audi they showed off is a plug-in hybrid. So you can actually plug
that in at home and drive it for about 30 miles before it starts to sip from
the hydrogen tank. But they all are EVs just like the battery car.
Leo: So they’re like the Volt then with an engine as well? Or
plug-in hybrids? Nothing’s just hydrogen fuel cell only. Or is it?
Tim: The only source of electricity for most of these cars is from hydrogen fuel
cell. The Audio can be plugged in too to give you a little extra range on top
of that. They have a small battery to meet peak demands. If you’re racing
someone to the stop light that kind of thing, the fuel cell isn’t going to give
you enough juice for acceleration.
Leo: And is there another consumable? Doesn’t a fuel cell require some sort of
electrolysis process?
Tim: No, the maintenance on these things is remarkably low. There are some fuel
filters and things that would need to be replaced every couple of years.
Leo: So there’s no catalyst?
Tim: No you don’t have to drop copper into the fuel tank or anything like that.
They’re pretty well sustained. And these are still early days for these cars.
So even at $60,000, Toyota’s probably taking a little bit of a loss just to get
them on the market and see how they hold up to day to day wear and tear. Weather and seasons, and that sort of thing. Ultimately
they’re based on production technology. In fact the Volkswagen cars are
basically the same thing as the Volkswagen E-Gulf. An all-electric Gulf they’re
selling now but instead of having a battery pack they have hydrogen tank.
Leo: And I was being jocular referring to the Hindenburg. Of course a gas tank is
also highly combustible.
Kevin: Hydrogen leak just goes up in the sky and vanishes. Petroleum goes across the
ground because it’s heavier than air. Then you light it and you get a flame
that spreads sideways. Petroleum gas spillage is one of the scariest things
there is.
Leo: Anything that has enough stored energy to motivate a three-ton vehicle is going
to have some explosive power. Even lithium-ion. You’re
storing a lot of energy in a compact form to drive the car. It’s going to have
some explosive potential.
Tim: We’ve seen plenty of battery packs up in smoke. And when they do they go very
quickly and very violently. Not as violently as a hydrogen explosion obviously.
But these tanks are very well designed. They’re carbon fiber for the most part.
And they can survive a pretty significant impact for sure.
Leo: Then the refueling, I guess Toyota said they’re going to put in more stations.
They say it fills in five minutes. Which is pretty fast. Faster than a Tesla but not as fast as a gas fill-up.
Tim: Not quite. You can figure you can fill up a typical car in two minutes. One of
the nice things is there’s actually already a standard defined for hydrogen
filling stations. So they don’t need to do that. If you look at EVs, there are
about three or four different standards when you go from one country to the
next. It’s a headache for everybody. Tesla has their own thing they’re doing.
This is one standard defined across the entire industry so that’s nice. It’s
one of the things that you don’t need to worry about. You plug the car in and
it takes five minutes. You have to go up to 10,000 PSI which is pretty high.
But at that point you’re good to go for another 300 miles.
Leo: And then finally I guess the question that really we should be asking is how do
you produce hydrogen and is it produced in an environmentally friendly way? Or
is it just deferring the environmental costs to another location?
Tim: That really depends on where you are and where your electricity comes from. You
can get hydrogen pretty easily from alcohol from ethanol and that kind of
thing. And that’s pretty straight forward conversion and efficient. You can
also basically make it straight from thin air just by using electricity. But of
course the question there is where is your electricity coming from? Right now
that is basically passing the buck from one source of contaminants, one source
of pollution to another one. The hope is that at some point in the non-distant
future, we’ll have much more efficient sources of power to the grid. And at
that point hydrogen production could in theory become free or close to free.
And you know we’re basically solving a lot of problems which is all these cars
on the road polluting. And then moving that problem up the
stream a bit to power plants. And we can solve that problem and move
along. But again it depends where you’re from. If you’re in the northwest for
example, there’s a lot of renewable energy up there. If you’re coming from a
coal-fired power plant kind of place, you’re probably just passing the buck.
Leo: Interesting. What else did you see? Somebody was asking how you feel about the
new Shelby plank… what was it, differential? I don’t know if that’s in your
purview or not.’
Tim: Yea, so the GT 350 which is Ford’s new, the first…
Leo: You can ask this guy anything!
Tim: It’s the first of what we’ll probably see dozens and dozens of special edition
Mustangs. They just launched the 2015 Mustang. This is a Shelby GT 350. They
didn’t give us a lot of details about it. But basically the shape of the crank
in the V8 means there’s going to be a higher-revving motor than we’ve seen in
the past. You usually think the 8’s as a big and throttly engines you wouldn’t want to rev to high.
This one will be designed for high revving. It’s basically designed to be kind
of a track toy. They’re going after the Camaro Z28 in a big way. It’s going to
be over 500 horsepower; they didn’t say exactly how many. It’s going to be a
very nice car. Sounds very nice when it revs. That
flap plank crank gives it a different sound to the ignition as well. But a very
different sort of Mustang than we’ve seen in the past. I’m curious to see how
it does on the track, especially with the new independent rear suspension which
is neat too.
Leo: You see? You ask about flap plank cranks and you get an answer. This man knows
his stuff!
Tim: Thank you very much.
Leo: Tim Stevens. You’ll probably cover this on CNET, right?
Tim: Absolutely. We’ll be doing more Mustang coverages once we get more time. We did
a big feature at the launch of that car last year. I went to Detroit to talk to
the designers and kind of get a feel for things. Like I said this is the first
big special edition of the Mustang that they’ve done. But they’ll be doing a
lot more and we hope to be spending some time on the track with that thing in
the not-too-distant future. The new Corvette also; look for more coverage of the news at 6 SEC time. That should be fun too.
Leo: Cnet.com/topics/car/tech. You can read all about it. I came this close to
buying a Shelby. And then Tony Wang said it’s a waste. You shouldn’t get a
Shelby. You’ll never drive it. So I just got a regular GT. But it’s a nice car.
It’s a nice car. It’s got a stick. So I can’t text.
Tim: Nice.
Leo: Yea. 506 horsepower on the flap crank. Holy cow!
Tim: Somewhere over 500, yea. They didn’t say how much it was going to cost though
which was a question for a lot of people.
Leo: Let’s take a break. We’ll come back with lots more to talk about. Tim Stevens,
Sam Lessin, Mr. Kevin Marks. Our show today brought
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Use the offer code TWIT for our special deal. Good news, Apple has ended the
patent war. Whoever thought that would happen? Remember Apple was a primary
investor in a company called Rock Star. They bought the Nortel patents. You
would know about this, Kevin, being a telecom fellow. And they in fact up in Canada, Rock Star had a lab where people were reverse
engineering all sorts of technology looking for patent infringement. Apple was
a big investor. And I think Microsoft was involved in Rock Star. And was suing everybody, especially Samsung. The Rock Star
lawsuits were kind of the latest in a non-stop lawsuit mania going on in
Silicon Valley. Apple, and I have to think this is Tim Cook, has decided to end
this war. Remember this was Steve Jobs who declared thermonuclear war on Google
and Android. Good news? Kevin?
Kevin: Definitely good news. The less of this nonsense there is the better. It is basically
became a way for lawyers to tax technology as far as I can tell. No company
ends up doing well out of this.
Leo: I’m going to play devil’s advocate. Doesn’t a company have a right and
obligation to protect their intellectual property?
Kevin: The notion of intellectual property itself is a problematic one
Leo: You’re just a commie!
Kevin: No, it’s a post-op construction. There were three separate things that tie in
together that is intellectual property. And promote it as a
form of property as opposed to government grants have been released to
have a function. And once you treat them as property then people’s metaphor for
them is broken. The point of patents was to protect the invention for a limited
time and then make it public. That was also the point of copyright. Copyright,
they kept it similar terms to the point of ridiculousness. So that making it
public doesn’t happen anymore.
Leo: Thank you, Walt Disney.
Kevin: With patents, what happened is they effectively change the definition of invention
from something that has to sort of practically exist to the ability to patent
abstract ideas. And that’s where we had the explosion
of idiocy there.
Leo: Is that software patents? Is that really the fundamental issue?
Kevin: Software patents, business model patents. There’s a whole…
Leo: Swipe to unlock. You can’t patent swipe to unlock. Come on.
Kevin: Things like that. Design patents as well. So the challenge with… part of this
is a culture clash. So the reason the telecom companies are very big on patents
is because the model that they had for standardization was that they very much
wanted to whole industry to have the same standard. As you
were talking about with the fuel cells. You want everyone to be on the
same standard for something like that. And so the model they did come up with
was that you would get all the engineers in every company together, agree the
standards up front, create a patent pool, cross-license it, and that was their
work-around for that. And that worked within their domain where you have to
express these things in hardware. And there are very long lead times. So when
you want to go from GSM to 4G, you want everyone to be doing the same steps and
have them interoperable. So that’s the sort of world they came from. And that
sort of leaked into technology at the point where we were working with
audio-video codecs. And things like that. And that became the notion of
standardization; sort of leaks across them there. So as these technologies
shifted from being implemented purely in hardware to be implemented potentially
infringing software. There’s a culture clash between the two modes. And that’s
where a lot of this comes from. And so in the software world we’ve long ago
realized that this was unworkable and came up with other models for getting
people to converge. Which is open-source and open standards
models. Open standards groups like ITF and W3C where we all agree… we
still go and argue about it. But it’s not an up-front agreement where we say we
will agree to have this work before we build it. It’s much more often a post-op
agreement saying we all built these things that are fairly close. If we make a
few small changes, then we’ll actually interoperate better. If
you look at the difference between the ISO for example and the W3C or even the
ITF. The ISO is this effectively behaves like a legislative body. The
W3C and the ITF behave much more like documenting what has happened and
agreeing so that each build can do the same thing. So they’ve taken the
responsibility for documenting the invention from the patent which was designed
to let someone else replicate it after it expired, into this publicly shared
process where we can replicate it before it expires so we have a layer of stuff
that we can agree on. So that difference is key to the
heart of this. And a lot of these patent walls were leakage from
hardware-centric worldview into the software worldview. And I think the
promising thing we’re now seeing is the leakage is going the other way as we’re
starting to get more open-sourced hardware. But also as software replaces a lot
of the things that we used to do in hardware. The ability to use open-source
stuff for that and open-spec stuff for that becomes much more viable.
Leo: IM, which is the blog arm of the IP media group. Richard Lloyd writing says
that Rock Star reached a settlement with Cisco. They have now settled with
Google. He calls them an NPE which is the modern term for patent troll:
non-practicing entity. Somebody that bought patents but has
no desire to use them. Merely to sue. They’ve
also apparently dropped lawsuits against others apparently the investors in
Rock Star which include Apple which put $2.6B into it in 2011 have kind of loss
their appetite for suing or fighting. The real question is what will happen to
Rock Star? Will it be sold to another non-practicing entity? That would be bad.
But it seems to be that the parties involved, the investors, don’t want that to
happen. If they do sell Rock Star’s assets, they’ll sell them to somebody else
who’s not going to sue. Apple, Ericsson, Blackberry, Microsoft, Sony, and EMC
bid for it. I think EMC was not involved. But Sony, Microsoft, Blackberry,
Apple, and Ericsson are at the parties. And since Ericsson and Blackberry are
resting, it’s probably really more up to Sony, Microsoft, and Apple right now.
Kevin: Right. And at some point Apple has sort of won the battle.
Leo: No need to fight. So It’s not merely Tim Cook saying
you know this was a bad idea. It’s bad for everybody. Lots of things about how
we do business were revealed in these lawsuits. It’s him saying we won.
Kevin: I think it’s a bit of both. I think it’s a change of tone. Apple has been
historical fictitious and also the target of a lot of patent trolls as well. So
they’ve got a very strong legal team and it’s a question of which way they’re
deciding to point them.
Leo: Of course ironically you’d think Samsung would say oh thank goodness… no,
instead they’re countersuing NVidia and Velocity Micro. NVidia’s
suing them over a system on a chip used for the shield tablet, the Tegra K1. And the Tegra 2. Oh well.
Kevin: The other thing is, the other way to think about Apple. And this is the area
that Tim Cook is extremely good at. They want to commoditize this stuff that
they’re putting a layer on top of. So for any given Apple model they make, they
will have supplies for the different components. And they’ll decide as they
ramp up to production which ones they want to go with. That was definitely true
when I went to Apple. They were building new machines. There were always
multiple builds for different hardware components for the different pieces so
they could try them out. We could get the software running in all of them and
swap out supplies when needed. As they’ve scaled up, that may have been harder
for them to do. But it’s something that, this is the piece that Tim Cook grew
with the supply side of Apple. And he understands that. In some ways that’s
what Apple is doing with other industries as well. If you think about the way
Apple Pay works, in effect they’re doing the same thing. The payment model is
not going to change. We’re just providing a layer on top of that.
Leo: That’s smart. We add the value to commodity…
Kevin: Yea we have to design a user experience and the large customer base that like
what we do to your service layer.
Leo: European Parliament is poised to call for a breakup of Google. That’s a good
idea. The idea I guess is to put political pressure on the European Commission
to take a tougher stand on Google. Anti-trust and
anti-privacy investigations. The financial times reported that it saw a
draft motion from the European Parliament that says quote unbundling of search
engines from other commercial services should be considered as a potential
solution to Google’s dominance. Sam that must be frustrating for a company when
you have all this success and all you get is no, no kids we’re going to break
you up.
Sam: I don’t know the details of how the European Commission documents. My sense is
look, I think it’s actual not that dissimilar to the Uber situation. When you get big enough, everybody says a lot of different things
and there’s a lot of opinions. And the question is how
do you manage the scale and move forward. Is it unfathomable that at least one
or more people in Europe think this is a good idea? No. There’s a lot of people in Europe. The question is how does it
actually end up netting out at the end of the day. I don’t know. It’s
not clear to me how serious this is versus how much this is… there’s a lot of
graphs and a lot of things in the world.
Leo: Google apparently was furious at the political nature of the motion. They don’t
think it’s a serious motion. They just think it’s politics in the European Union.
Sam: The question is how do you manage these huge companies and these huge systems
where everyone has a very personable relationship with these brands? And
they’re powerful.
Leo: Right.
Kevin: The other thing is this sort of maps a bit the structural separation solution
that I was talking about for net neutrality. That’s the model that Europe
understands. For that size they’re trying to apply in this field. And the
challenge is, is that an analogy that works or is
there another one that makes more sense. The question needs to be which is
better for the end users, for the people. And most of these suits in the EU
have not been by people saying Google search is really bad. It’s been by people
saying…
Leo: It’s too good!
Kevin: People saying Google search is too good, it’s locking us out. That’s the patent
there. That’s the challenge for the EU Commission is to come up with a way that
says okay what we could change that would make this better for customers. The
other parallel may be the Microsoft decent decree where they said we didn’t
like you bundling the browser with the operating system. And so we’re going to
mandate that you give the users the choice of browsers.
Leo: Yea, that worked out well. The browser ballet.
Kevin: So, that coincided with Microsoft sort of like sending the ICE email on holiday
for two years. It’s not clear how much, if any impact that had compared to the
fact that other people were building better browsers and Microsoft was resting
on their laurels. But the browser market has changed since then.
Leo: Lest you think venal and stupid politicians exist only in Europe. Good news!
After the Supreme Court decision against Ario,
they’ve conceded defeat and Ario is now filing for
bankruptcy. For some time they tried to convince the court, no, no. Okay, we’ll
be a cable company then. The court didn’t buy it. Ario, which is only three years old
and was beloved by people who used the service, is basically been put out of
the business by the television networks who didn’t like the idea. Five
months ago, they lost in the Supreme Court and they haven’t really been able to
find a way out. So they’re going to seek bankruptcy protection. It is chapter
11, so it doesn’t mean they’re going away. Just
restructuring. But I got to wonder what exactly their new business model
will be. If you can’t do…
Sam: They made a bet and it came up wrong.
Leo: They took a chance.
Sam: It was a cool bet.
Leo: It’s a cool bet. How do you feel about that Supreme Court decision? It seems
misguided.
Sam: I don’t know. I mean it depends… look, the reality is
I think this goes back to the whole… my best grounding in all this stuff as I
really enjoy the Masters which is a book. I recommend everyone read it who’s
interested in it.
Leo: Yep. These are all the forces at work, aren’t they?
Sam: It all just kind of rehashes very old issues over and over again. I think it’s
a reasonable outcome for the Supreme Court to pull. It’s not irrational. But it
just pushes the world in a little different direction for a while.
Leo: A while is the key, I think.
Kevin: Ario was always a hack anyway.
Leo: They knew what they were doing.
Kevin: We need to put tiny antennas on the top of each roof.
Leo: It was always a temporary play because as soon as internet broadcasting over
the top happens, you don’t need Ario. It was a matter
of an interim product until local stations put themselves on the internet. And
that’s going to happen.
Kevin: That’s going to happen too. I’ve gone the other way. I’ve canceled my Comcast
cable subscription and put an antenna on the side of the house. So if you want
to watch anything over the air, we’ll watch it on the antenna. Otherwise, we’ll
just use Netflix.
Leo: But you’re lucky. You can get free broadcast over the air. We can’t get OTA up
here in Petaluma.
Sam: I’m curious. Do you guys watch sports? For me I don’t watch sports so literally
we haven’t had any sort of connection to anything live in years. And it’s never
been an issue.
Leo: Um, sports, academy awards.
Kevin: There’s the occasional thing.
Leo: It’s live programming, right?
Kevin: The Voice, stuff like that, yea.
Leo: The Voice, really? My wife watches the Voice. She drives me crazy because she
DVRs it and that’s sensible because there’s like eight hours of commercials in
an hour of television. I don’t know how they do it. It’s an amazing miracle.
But she skips right to the performances. But I want to see what Garth says.
That’s Taylor Swift. She goes right to the performances.
Kevin: That’s pretty sensible. That would make it like a 10 minute show.
Leo: It’s a very short show. Takes no time to watch.
Kevin: If she wants she could just get this on iTunes.
Leo: It makes her happy to fast forward the DVR. Explain to me streaming Photoshop.
Actually we’re going to talk about that in a second; take a break. Then I want
to talk about I think it’s pronounced Hoya. But I
think it’s Jolla or Jolla, the open source iPad
alternative. It raised a million dollars in two days. This is from a bunch of
ex-Nokia employees. And the chairman of the FCC says we’re not going to rush.
We’re going to take our time. Don’t rush me, man. Our show today brought to you
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at hover.com. You’re going to love them. I watched the video and I’ve forgotten
now how you pronounce it. Is it Jolla?
Tim: It’s Yola.
Leo: Yola. It’s Sale Fish OS, which is a skinned version I believe of Android. Here
it is. They’re doing the Indie Gogo campaign. They
want to make an iPad alternative. November 19th they started. They
were hoping to get $383,000. To-date, $1.1M on the, say it again. Jolla? Yola?
Tim: Yola.
Leo: Yola. It’s Finnish, right?
Tim: Yea.
Leo: So what do you think of this?
Tim: I think it looks great. This is based on Linux. So it can run Android apps but
of course you won’t get the first-party. You know, your Gmails,
Google Maps, that sort of thing. You can run Android apps.
Leo: Will it be AOSP? Or it’s something completely different?
Tim: It’s closest to Meego, I think.
Leo: Oh, Meego, yea, yea.
Tim: So it’s kind of similar a little bit. Only it’s in field to that. It’s a very
nice OS from what I’ve seen. I haven’t actually used it myself. This is version
2. I think version 1 was on the phone that I think came out last year if I remember right.
Leo: I had a Meego phone for a little bit. That was it. It
was done.
Tim: That was kind of a last slash for Meego. Which
everybody loved and now unfortunately it was never… I went to Windows Phone
after that. The tablet looks nice. A nice price point. Obviously a lot of people are interested and excited. It’s interesting to see
that it’s almost like a spiritual successor to Nokia devices.
Leo: It looks a little like a Lumia with that curved edge. So you can get if you do
the Indie Gogo for $209… they plan to charge $250. So
it’s very affordable. But I have to say after using the Fire OS and these
others, I just feel like you really should just get Android or iOS. A forked
OS, I mean I love to support these guys. I think it’s great.
Sam: The likelihood they would be able to succeed at scale is extremely thin. It’s
just so expensive. Not the one-time build or any of these things. But
continuously updating and keeping them competitive. Gaining
distribution. This is extremely difficult to pull off.
Leo: I know!
Sam: Basically I would argue impossible for a startup.
Leo: I want to support them. I love the idea. These are all refugees from Nokia,
trying to make their way in the world. You know what they need? They need some
hook. They need to say like it’s the private tablet. You know? Like the black
phone or something. They need some hook that makes you want it and it’s better somehow than Android or iOS. Otherwise, I don’t
understand why you wouldn’t get a mainstream OS.
Sam: It’s also unclear starting with building a tablet. It’s an interesting
decision. On one hand I guess it’s less mission critical. So people are willing to go buy an extra one and take a chance. Who
cares, right? On the flip side, especially in this world you guys are playing
with your huge phones. It’s really unclear to me that tablet is an immediate
form factor in the future.
Leo: I wonder. Really? Now you’re taking a chance. You’re
getting out on the ledge here.
Sam: I’ll throw it out there.
Leo: I feel the same way. But look at iPad sales, they’re kind of flattened. Turning down. When you have a six-inch phone, what do you
need a tablet for?
Tim: Especially these small tablets. This has 7.85 inches which is very close to the
bigger phones these days. The Nexus 6 or Note 4. If
anything, I think we’ll see the iPad and it’s getting bigger movement going
form the 12-inch to the 14-inch size. Just to maintain some kind of a niche.
Ultimately that’s still going to be a smaller niche. I think the tablet sales
are going to continue to decline. Ultimately if you have a six-inch phone in
your pocket, why would you need an eight-inch tablet in your hand? You’d want something
significantly different. That would be the only reason to have a tablet really.
Leo: I’ve got to say they’ve raised a million plus dollars. Somebody wants it.
Kevin: My point of view on this is that these things are actually converging. The
phone-tablet dichotomy was basically a design decision that Apple made a few
years ago based on the technology at the time. And that sort of got baked into
the way people felt about these things as separate entities. Whereas
now, there’s a continuum. Samsung has a thing in every measure between
three inches and 12. And people can pick the ones that they want to use. And
the software is moving. Now Apple has shifted some of the bigger phones from
that dichotomy to this continuous, responsive design model. I think it’s a
question of picking which size you want to use it.
Sam: That’s fair. I think the only argument I would make contrary to that is just
that there is very different relationship you have with your phone versus a
tablet which may be shared in a family or used in a home by multiple people. To
me you guys and I myself have two phones. Massive exception
to the rule. People are going to have like a
device. That’s just a very different pattern of having a device that’s your
persistent identity. You log in and experience the world. It’s with you all the
time. It has to be carried with you everywhere versus a tablet which is a
casual use at home around the couch. Shared by a family,
whatever. I think there is a different pattern of interaction at least
historically.
Leo: I have to say when you look around at people, they are
in love with their phone. They don’t look at their loved ones. They don’t look
at their food, the road. They’re in love, aren’t they? And I’m one of them! We
gaze into the eyes of our phone with passion. This is what people want. There’s
the most intimate technology in history.
Kevin: I think we’re starting to get the notion that you can move the stuff between
the screens. It’s becoming much more obvious and smoother. We’ve had bits of
that with Apple TV and Chrome. And it’s very obvious what you were saying about
the cast software. Okay, the card just becomes a screen viewer for your phone.
So there’s a sense that you are carrying this thing but it can take advantage
of the screens of the other places that are there. And that’s an obvious thing
that people quite like. But you have to be careful. You don’t actually want as
you say your intimate messages appearing on the television screen in front of
everyone else in the room. So you want to have some control over which one
you’re using for what.
Leo: I would say the analog is music. Think how we’ve consumed how we changed music.
We used to listen in groups at concerts or when we would have our stereo. It’s
got more and more intimate. The phone is very much like the iPod where the
music is a very personal connection, one-on-one. Despite the Microsoft squirt
ads where people were sharing their ear buds. I think really people, their
music they consume solo in a solitary way. I think computing is rapidly moving
that direction.
Kevin: I think that’s back and forth. Before it was a solitary
thing. But the ability to cast it to the room is useful too. They sell a
lot of these large Bluetooth speakers as well as headphones.
Leo: I guess they do. That’s mostly because I can’t hold my phone, my precious. I
have to put it down while I wash the dishes.
Sam: There’s no question we’ll be flicking different types of media and projecting
things and using all those screens around us. Frankly I don’t think it’s a very
interesting business to be a screen manufacturer. There’s the question of like
where is the Nexus of software and connection and communication? I think there
will be things like the size of tablets or bigger tablets that I’ll be pushing
data to. I think it’s an interesting decision for a company to focus on those
right now.
Leo: Sam, is that a replicator? What is that behind you?
Sam: That’s a Maker Bot.
Leo: Nice.
Sam: Yea, second generation.
Leo: What have you been building lately?
Sam: It’s funny. I was one of the early investors in Maker Bot. And a huge believer
in what they’re doing. The coolest things we used to print-I used to have it in
a conference room at Facebook-and the teams would print out three-dimensional
DAU and NAU reports on it. So we would have a meeting and…
Leo: No, you’d have little 3D graphs.
Sam: No it would be a globe of the world and basically do the heights of different
populations. So you’d see a map of the world.
Leo: Oh man! Whatever happened to those? Are they on a shelf somewhere?
Sam: I think so. I think a bunch of them got chucked.
Leo: No! That’s awesome. Data visualization. That’s the
best use for a 3D printer I’ve heard in a long time.
Sam: If you’re blind you can figure out how we’re doing globally.
Leo: Yea, wow. That is very cool. Hey congratulations to Jerry Ellsworth and her
team at Cast AR. Remember Jerry left Valve and convinced Gabe Newell to give
her this. Augmented reality glasses that project a game space in front of you.
You’re still looking through the glasses and still see the world around you and
your opponent. But you also see the game space. It was a $1M Kickstarter
project a year ago. It has just shipped, Cast AR has
shipped their first pair of augmented reality glasses. Congratulations to Jerry
and Rick and the team at Cast AR. They showed us early prototypes.
Kevin: What games does it run?
Leo: I think that… I don’t know. That’s a good question.
Tim: Its big focus is interactive game play, multiplayer game play.
Leo: Yea you can play chess with each other and see the chess board.
Tim: Part of it is taking tabletop gaming to the next step. Each person has their
own perspective and a 3D view of a virtual tabletop for example. You can also
play a flight simulator for example. It will project on the wall if you hang up
the right material. So you have a 3D flight simulator where you can look
around. Or a driving game or that kind of thing as well. It’s definitely a different sort of technology than VR but it’s got a lot of
potential. We’re having our next big panel at CES this year and Jerry’s going
to be on our show. So I’m excited about it.
Leo: I’m mad for Jerry. She’s so wonderful, brilliant, and cool. She did this video
that’s showing her actually shipping the first Cast AR. That tube is the plane
surface. So it casts onto a plane surface. That’s the coordinate. So it’s
really… yea for tabletop gaming it’s awesome. It’s
like a retro reflective surface effectively. So whatever your Cast AR glasses are projecting, they’re reflecting back to you but not to anybody
else. That’s how it gives you a personalized display. And everybody else has
their own display. Ultimately you’re seeing the same world but from different
perspectives.
Leo: Very exciting. I’m glad you knew all about it. Because I played with it but didn’t…
Tim: It’s cool stuff.
Leo: Really cool stuff. And congratulations to circuit girl. Hey I want to thank you all for being here. I just have one question for you,
Sam. What do you have against Carthidge?
Sam: It needs to burn.
Leo: I don’t know why you have that on a poster. But anybody who’s studied the
Romans or Latin, we did it in Latin.
Sam: Yea.
Leo: Was it Kato?
Sam: I didn’t get that far.
Leo: I don’t remember. He said Carthidge must be
destroyed.
Sam: Carthidge must burn.
Leo: It has been. It’s done. It’s over. We salted it. You don’t have to worry about Carthidge anymore. Move on with your life. Carthidge must be destroyed. Cartago Delinda Est.
Sam: That’s the poster.
Leo: Is there an explanation for it?
Sam: It’s a long story but…
Leo: You’re just a fan of the third Punic war. I understand. Who isn’t?
Sam: It was a limited edition Punic war for those who are surviving.
Kevin: Is Carthidge Myspace here? Is that what this is
about?
Leo: I think there’s a conspiracy here going on.
Sam: You guys can come up with all the conspiracy theories you want.
Leo: Did Mark hand those out in a special conspiracy meeting? Come on.
Sam: All the conspiracy theories you want. Listen, I was a good Latin student. My
name in Latin class was Ignifor.
Leo: What does that mean? Bearer of dumbness?
Sam: Uh, fire. Anyway.
Tim: That’s what they told you anyway.
Leo: Okay complete this phrase…
Sam: I can’t anymore.
Leo: That’s good! Very good! He remembers his conjugations. Sam, it’s great to talk
to you once again. Please come back. We’d love to have you on a regular basis.
It’s so much fun to have you. And you’re in the Bay area, right? Come up and
visit us sometime.
Sam: I’d love to sometime. I couldn’t make it work today. But sometime I’ll make it
work.
Leo: Any time. We’ll be in touch. I’d love to do it again. My regards to Jessica and
everybody should subscribe to the information. We have our subscription. It’s
$400 a year, right?
Sam: Yep. You can read my article tomorrow. I’ve got one coming out.
Leo: I see one here. I wonder if they published the Uber is the gate keeper to the physical world. You’ve got another one coming?
Sam: That was I think last week’s. I’ve got my weekly thing on Monday.
Leo: This was from the Uber-Spotify announcement which was immediately eclipsed by
the Uber we’re going to get you announcement.
Sam: It was an interesting announcement, directionally where the world’s going.
Leo: I think it’s great. I mean I’m not a Spotify customer or an Uber customer. In theory if you are you get into the car and your tunes would be
playing.
Sam: All I want in the future is to walk into a bar and have them change the music.
Know who I am and make my favorite drink on demand. And I think Uber might get us there over time.
Leo: Hello, Sam. Would you like another Pascoe sour?
Sam: Absolutely.
Leo: We have put Garth Brooks on the jukebox. Please, enjoy.
Sam: That’s what I want. I don’t get it.
Leo: I like it. You’re right. This is where Uber’s headed.
Ignore all this stuff.
Sam: They know you’re two minutes away from the restaurant. Prepare the table, check
me in. That’s going to be awesome.
Leo: Let’s give up this whole privacy notion. We want that.
Sam: You can control it but at the end of the day why would you not want that?
Leo: Why would you not want that?
Kevin: Privacy.
Leo: I want as I walk by the pants store, I want them to throw pants at me and say
you need some new pants. Here they are. We’ve already made them to your size.
Sam: By the way, you can rent them. Just return them later.
Leo: Just throw them in the autonomous vehicle when you’re done and we’ll drive it
back to us. Tim Stevens, he does Car Tech at CNET, at cnet.com/topics/car-tech.
You can follow him on the Twitter, @tim_stevens. Always great to have you on. How many feet of snow do you
have today?
Tim: It was actually up and over melting. So we have no snow left at this point.
It’s going to be 60 degrees. It was down to 17 degrees a couple days ago and
it’s going to be 60. So we’re in a weird weather pattern.
Leo: You’re near Buffalo but you’re not near it enough to get the lake effect?
Tim: No, we’re a long way from Buffalo actually. We’re out to the east part of the
state. So we missed all the lake effect fun that all the folks out west got to…
Leo: That was wild.
Tim: Insane amount of snow.
Leo: Have you ever had that kind of snow? Six feet of snow.
Tim: Pretty close to it. I grew up in Vermont and we had some big snow storms when I
was a kid. I remember digging tunnels with my sister and we had a hill we’d go
sliding on and we built a tunnel and go sliding down through the tunnel instead
of on the top of the snow.
Leo: Right, that’s how you get out of your house. You saw the picture of the guy who
opens the door. I wonder if that’s on here. The guy opens the door and instead
of the outside world, there’s a big snow wall with his door imprinted in it.
Tim: And he put his beers in there.
Leo: That was a good one. It made a nice fridge. Oh man. So you don’t get snow like
that where you are.
Tim: Not up in Albany these days. We don’t get quite that much. Out west toward the
lake, you definitely get a lot of snow real quick.
Leo: Well I’ll be watching. Did you watch the Jets game? Was it snowing in Buffalo?
Tim: I did not. I’m not a football fan, I confess.
Leo: That’s why we have you on, on Sundays. No one on this show could be a football
fan. Otherwise we would never get anybody on this show. Kevin Marks, you’re
probably a football fan in that English way.
Kevin: Not really, no.
Leo: Of course not. It’s always great to talk to you. Kevin tweeted and said I want
to talk about net neutrality. I said Kevin you can be on this show whenever you
want.
Kevin: I may take you up on that again. When I’m ready to get some
more lighting out here.
Leo: I like how it’s slowly getting darker, that’s good. We do TWiT every Sunday afternoon, 3pm Pacific, 6pm Pacific time, 2300 UTC. On twit.tv. We’d love it if you watch live. Because I watch the chat room and snicker. But if you can’t,
don’t worry. On demand audio and video is always available after the fact,
twit.tv. You can also get it on all your podcast clients and that stuff. It’s
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And we will say happy New Year to every time zone around the world in that time
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because a lot of people will want to come to that. Most of our hosts will be
here. It’s going to be a lot of fun. The week, before we do our best of, and I
encourage you to submit any ideas you have for our best of. Twit.tv/bestof for any of the shows. We put best of’s together during Christmas week this year. If you know
the episode number, that would be great. I hope you know the show name. But if
you don’t, just write in the comments. There was this thing that happened with
a thing and it would be really good to have that in the best of. It will help
our producers, Jason Howell. Our hard-working producers and editors put
something together. By the way, if you want to be on our New Year’s Eve show,
there are some unfilled time zones. You got to figure we’ve got the east coast
covered. We probably have Sydney covered. I know, Sam, you’re going to cover
British standard time for us, right? But I imagine there will be people… if
you’re in the Solomon Islands. If you’re in Uzbekistan. If you’re in Tuvalu, go to twit.tv/nye. Anywhere like
that. If you’re in far-away land, let us know what time zone you’re in so we
can Skype over to you and you can have a party for us. There’s all the time zones. There are 27, right? Something like that. Because some of these balloon drops will be at quarter after and
half-past. It’s so weird. Anyway we’ll be doing that. Also, we still have a few
shirts left. If you would like to get a holiday gift for the geek in your life,
we’ve got TWiT dress shirts and polo shirts at
teespring.com/twit. We tried to come up with something people would like for
the holidays. So we have embroidered polo shirts for men and women and
embroidered dress shifts for men and women. Maybe that was not the best thing
to choose. We’ve only sold 200 of them. But, you only have seven days left. So
get on over there. I know, everybody’s waiting. You
don’t have to swipe this. The price doesn’t change. It’s going to be the same
price in seven days. But after seven days, it’s gone. Teespring.com/twit. Thanks for being here, we’ll see you next week!
Another TWiT is in the can. Bye-bye.